The Real AI Contest
The real contest isn’t humans versus AI. It’s concentrated versus distributed power. Daron Acemoglu is about as close as economics gets to a rock star. Still only 58, the MIT …
Executives Know How to Manage Stress. Adversity Is Different.
AI won’t test your stress tolerance. It will test your ability to adapt. We have spent decades teaching executives to manage stress. We may have mistaken that for knowing how …
Seek First To Understand Before Being Understood
We Don’t All Think the Same President Trump’s recent frustration with Iran reflects a challenge that has confounded every U.S. administration since the 1979 Islamic Revolution: the assumption that Iran’s …
Moving from Just in Time to Just in Case
A New Investment Regime? For more than three decades, investors benefited from an economic model built on globalization, efficiency and ever-lower costs. Companies optimized supply chains through just-in-time manufacturing, sourcing …
AI and Prediction Markets: The Shift To Distributed Intelligence
The rise of AI and the rise of prediction markets are usually discussed as separate trends. They shouldn’t be. Both signal a deeper transformation in how intelligence is organized inside …
Then a Miracle Happens: AI and the Blackboard Bias
There’s an old cartoon that’s a favourite of mine: Two researchers stand at a blackboard, surrounded by dense equations. In the middle of it all, one has scribbled, “Then a …
A.I. and the Economy: Lessons from the U.S. for Australia
A.I. and the Economy: Lessons from the U.S. for Australia Artificial Intelligence is driving a major shift in the U.S. economy, fuelling rapid demand growth—particularly in infrastructure like data centres …
Meta-Ignorance: The Hidden Risk in Business Decisions
Meta-Ignorance: The Hidden Risk in Business Decisions Every leader knows the challenge of uncertainty. As former U.S. Secretary of Defense Donald Rumsfeld put it: “There are known knowns… There are …
AI Is Great at First-Order Thinking. But Can It Go Deeper?
AI Is Great at First-Order Thinking At last week’s government roundtable, AI was on full display—complete with the major hype that seems to follow it everywhere right now. The enthusiasm …
Culture Isn’t a Soft Skill—It’s a Global Business Strategy
Culture Isn’t a Soft Skill—It’s a Global Business Strategy Watching negotiations around the war in Ukraine, one thing becomes clear: diplomacy doesn’t just fail because of opposing interests. It often …